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The History of FOREX Trading
The origin of FOREX trading traces its history to centuries ago. Different
currencies and the need to exchange them had existed since the Babylonians.
They are credited with the first use of paper notes and receipts.
Speculation hardly ever happened, and certainly the enormous speculative
activity in the market today would have been frowned upon.
In those days, the value of goods were expressed in terms of other goods
(also called as the Barter System). The obvious limitations of such a system
encouraged establishing more generally accepted mediums of exchange. It was
important that a common base of value could be established. In some
economies, items such as teeth, feathers even stones served this purpose,
but soon various metals, in particular gold and silver, established
themselves as an accepted means of payment as well as a reliable storage of
value. Trade was carried among people of Africa, Asia etc through this
system. Coins were initially minted from the preferred metal and in stable
political regimes, the introduction of a paper form of governmental I.O.U.
during the Middle Ages also gained acceptance. This type of I.O.U. was
introduced more successfully through force than through persuasion and is
now the basis of today’s modern currencies.
Before the First World war, most Central banks supported their currencies
with convertibility to gold. However, the gold exchange standard had its
weaknesses of boom-bust patterns. As an economy strengthened, it would
import a great deal from out of the country until it ran down its gold
reserves required to support its money; as a result, the money supply would
diminish, interest rates escalate and economic activity slowed to the point
of recession. Ultimately, prices of commodities had hit bottom, appearing
attractive to other nations, who would sprint into buying fury that injected
the economy with gold until it increased its money supply, drive down
interest rates and restore wealth into the economy.. However, for this type
of gold exchange, there was not necessarily a Centrals bank need for full
coverage of the government's currency reserves.
This did not occur very often, however when a group mindset fostered this
disastrous notion of converting back to gold in mass, panic resulted in
so-called "Run on banks " The combination of a greater supply of paper money
without the gold to cover led to devastating inflation and resulting
political instability. The Great Depression and the removal of the gold
standard in 1931 created a serious lull in FOREX market activity. From 1931
until 1973, the FOREX market went through a series of changes. These changes
greatly affected the global economies at the time and speculation in the
FOREX markets during these times was little. In order to protect local
national interests, increased foreign exchange controls were introduced to
prevent market forces from punishing monetary irresponsibility.
Near the end of World War II, the Bretton Woods agreement was reached on
the initiative of the USA in July 1944. The conference held in Bretton
Woods, New Hampshire rejected John Maynard Keynes suggestion for a new world
reserve currency in favor of a system built on the US Dollar. International
institutions such as the IMF, The World Bank and GATT were created in the
same period as the emerging victors of WWII searched for a way to avoid the
destabilizing monetary crises leading to the war. The Bretton Woods
agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange rates that reinstated The
Gold Standard partly, fixing the USD at $35.00 per ounce of Gold and fixing
the other main currencies to the dollar, initially intended to be on a
permanent basis.
The Bretton Woods system came under increasing pressure as national
economies moved in different directions during the 1960’s. A number of
realignments held the system alive for a long time but eventually Bretton
Woods collapsed in the early 1970’s following president Nixon's suspension
of the gold convertibility in August 1971. The dollar was not any longer
suited as the sole international currency at a time when it was under severe
pressure from increasing US budget and trade deficits.
The last few decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop into the
world’s largest global market. Restrictions on capital flows have been
removed in most countries, leaving the market forces free to adjust foreign
exchange rates according to their perceived values.
The European Economic Community introduced a new system of fixed exchange
rates in 1979, the European Monetary System. The quest continued in Europe
for currency stability with the 1991 signing of The Maastricht treaty. This
was to not only fix exchange rates but also actually replace many of them
with the Euro in 2002. London was, and remains the principal offshore
market. In the 1980s, it became the key center in the Eurodollar market when
British banks began lending dollars as an alternative to pounds in order to
maintain their leading position in global finance.
In Asia, the lack of sustainability of fixed foreign exchange rates has
gained new relevance with the events in South East Asia in the latter part
of 1997, where currency after currency was devalued against the US dollar,
leaving other fixed exchange rates in particular in South America also
looking very vulnerable.
While commercial companies have had to face a much more volatile currency
environment in recent years, investors and financial institutions have
discovered a new playground. The FOREX exchange market initially worked
under the central banks and the governmental institutions but later on it
accommodated the various institutions, at present it also includes the dot
com booms and the world wide web. The size of the FOREX market now dwarfs
any other investment market. The foreign exchange market is the largest
financial market in the world. Approximately 1.9 trillion dollars are traded
daily in the foreign exchange market. It is estimated that more than USD
1,200 Billion are traded every day. It can be said easily that FOREX market
is a lucrative opportunity for the modern day savvy investor. |